The brains behind Moore's Law, which says processing power should increase exponentially every couple years, says his 1965 prediction was initially made looking only 10 years out.
Gordon Moore, the Intel co-founder who made the famous "Moore's Law" prediction about chip advancements, reflects on his 50-year-old theory. New York Times columnist Tom Friedman (back) interviews him.James Martin
SAN FRANCISCO -- The man behind Moore's Law says he's "amazed" his prediction about technology advancements has lasted so long.
Gordon Moore, speaking at an event Monday celebrating the 50th anniversary of his theory that processor power improves exponentially every two years, said when he made the prediction in 1965, he was only looking 10 years out, not multiple decades.
"I had no idea it was going to turn out to be a relatively precise prediction," Moore said. To keep his theory going, Moore said, "will take a lot of good engineering."
"The next five or 10 years is reasonably clear, and that's usually the case," Moore said. "You can usually see a few generations in the future. ... I still hope Brian [Krzanich, Intel's CEO] has enough good engineers working on the problem we won't hit a dead end."
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